Longitudinal fibre-specific white matter damage predicts cognitive decline in multiple sclerosis.

During the course of multiple sclerosis, many patients experience cognitive deficits which are not simply driven by lesion number or location. By considering the full complexity of white matter structure at macro- and microstructural levels, our understanding of cognitive impairment in multiple sclerosis may increase substantially. Accordingly, this study aimed to investigate specific patterns of white matter degeneration, the evolution over time, the manifestation across different stages of the disease and their role in cognitive impairment using a novel fixel-based approach. Neuropsychological test scores and MRI scans including 30-direction diffusion-weighted images were collected from 327 multiple sclerosis patients (mean age = 48.34 years, 221 female) and 95 healthy controls (mean age = 45.70 years, 55 female). Of those, 233 patients and 61 healthy controls had similar follow-up assessments 5 years after. Patients scoring 1.5 or 2 standard deviations below healthy controls on at least two out of seven cognitive domains (from the Brief Repeatable Battery of Neuropsychological Tests, BRB-N) were classified as mildly cognitively impaired or cognitively impaired, respectively, or otherwise cognitively preserved. Fixel-based analysis of diffusion data was used to calculate fibre-specific measures (fibre density, reflecting microstructural diffuse axonal damage; fibre cross-section, reflecting macrostructural tract atrophy) within atlas-based white matter tracts at each visit. At baseline, all fixel-based measures were significantly worse in multiple sclerosis compared with healthy controls (P < 0.05). For both fibre density and fibre cross-section, a similar pattern was observed, with secondary progressive multiple sclerosis patients having the most severe damage, followed by primary progressive and relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis. Similarly, damage was least severe in cognitively preserved (n = 177), more severe in mildly cognitively impaired (n = 63) and worst in cognitively impaired (n = 87; P < 0.05). Microstructural damage was most pronounced in the cingulum, while macrostructural alterations were most pronounced in the corticospinal tract, cingulum and superior longitudinal fasciculus. Over time, white matter alterations worsened most severely in progressive multiple sclerosis (P < 0.05), with white matter atrophy progression mainly seen in the corticospinal tract and microstructural axonal damage worsening in cingulum and superior longitudinal fasciculus. Cognitive decline at follow-up could be predicted by baseline fixel-based measures (R2 = 0.45, P < 0.001). Fixel-based approaches are sensitive to white matter degeneration patterns in multiple sclerosis and can have strong predictive value for cognitive impairment. Longitudinal deterioration was most marked in progressive multiple sclerosis, indicating that degeneration in white matter remains important to characterize further in this phenotype.

Sensorimotor network dynamics predict decline in upper and lower limb function in people with multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Upper and lower limb disabilities are hypothesized to have partially independent underlying (network) disturbances in multiple sclerosis (MS). OBJECTIVE: This study investigated functional network predictors and longitudinal network changes related to upper and lower limb progression in MS. METHODS: Two-hundred fourteen MS patients and 58 controls underwent functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI), dexterity (9-Hole Peg Test) and mobility (Timed 25-Foot Walk) measurements (baseline and 5 years). Patients were stratified into progressors (>20% decline) or non-progressors. Functional network efficiency was calculated using static (over entire scan) and dynamic (fluctuations during scan) approaches. Baseline measurements were used to predict progression; significant predictors were explored over time. RESULTS: In both limbs, progression was related to supplementary motor area and caudate efficiency (dynamic and static, respectively). Upper limb progression showed additional specific predictors; cortical grey matter volume, putamen static efficiency and posterior associative sensory (PAS) cortex, putamen, primary somatosensory cortex and thalamus dynamic efficiency. Additional lower limb predictors included motor network grey matter volume, caudate (dynamic) and PAS (static). Only the caudate showed a decline in efficiency over time in one group (non-progressors). CONCLUSION: Disability progression can be predicted using sensorimotor network measures. Upper and lower limb progression showed unique predictors, possibly indicating different network disturbances underlying these types of progression in MS.

A more unstable resting-state functional network in cognitively declining multiple sclerosis.

Cognitive impairment is common in people with multiple sclerosis and strongly affects their daily functioning. Reports have linked disturbed cognitive functioning in multiple sclerosis to changes in the organization of the functional network. In a healthy brain, communication between brain regions and which network a region belongs to is continuously and dynamically adapted to enable adequate cognitive function. However, this dynamic network adaptation has not been investigated in multiple sclerosis, and longitudinal network data remain particularly rare. Therefore, the aim of this study was to longitudinally identify patterns of dynamic network reconfigurations that are related to the worsening of cognitive decline in multiple sclerosis. Resting-state functional MRI and cognitive scores (expanded Brief Repeatable Battery of Neuropsychological tests) were acquired in 230 patients with multiple sclerosis and 59 matched healthy controls, at baseline (mean disease duration: 15 years) and at 5-year follow-up. A sliding-window approach was used for functional MRI analyses, where brain regions were dynamically assigned to one of seven literature-based subnetworks. Dynamic reconfigurations of subnetworks were characterized using measures of promiscuity (number of subnetworks switched to), flexibility (number of switches), cohesion (mutual switches) and disjointedness (independent switches). Cross-sectional differences between cognitive groups and longitudinal changes were assessed, as well as relations with structural damage and performance on specific cognitive domains. At baseline, 23% of patients were cognitively impaired (≥2/7 domains Z < -2) and 18% were mildly impaired (≥2/7 domains Z < -1.5). Longitudinally, 28% of patients declined over time (0.25 yearly change on ≥2/7 domains based on reliable change index). Cognitively impaired patients displayed more dynamic network reconfigurations across the whole brain compared with cognitively preserved patients and controls, i.e. showing higher promiscuity (P = 0.047), flexibility (P = 0.008) and cohesion (P = 0.008). Over time, cognitively declining patients showed a further increase in cohesion (P = 0.004), which was not seen in stable patients (P = 0.544). More cohesion was related to more severe structural damage (average r = 0.166, P = 0.015) and worse verbal memory (r = -0.156, P = 0.022), information processing speed (r = -0.202, P = 0.003) and working memory (r = -0.163, P = 0.017). Cognitively impaired multiple sclerosis patients exhibited a more unstable network reconfiguration compared to preserved patients, i.e. brain regions switched between subnetworks more often, which was related to structural damage. This shift to more unstable network reconfigurations was also demonstrated longitudinally in patients that showed cognitive decline only. These results indicate the potential relevance of a progressive destabilization of network topology for understanding cognitive decline in multiple sclerosis.

Serum contactin-1 as a biomarker of long-term disease progression in natalizumab-treated multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Natalizumab treatment provides a model for non-inflammation-induced disease progression in multiple sclerosis (MS). OBJECTIVE: To study serum contactin-1 (sCNTN1) as a novel biomarker for disease progression in natalizumab-treated relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) patients. METHODS: Eighty-nine natalizumab-treated RRMS patients with minimum follow-up of 3 years were included. sCNTN1 was analyzed at baseline (before natalizumab initiation), 3, 12, 24 months (M) and last follow-up (median 5.2 years) and compared to 222 healthy controls (HC) and 15 primary progressive MS patients (PPMS). Results were compared between patients with progressive, stable, or improved disability according to EDSS-plus criteria. RESULTS: Median sCNTN1 levels (ng/mL,) in RRMS (baseline: 10.7, 3M: 9.7, 12M: 10.4, 24M: 10.8; last follow-up: 9.7) were significantly lower compared to HC (12.5; p ⩽ 0.001). It was observed that 48% of patients showed progression during follow-up, 11% improved, and 40% remained stable. sCNTN1 levels were significantly lower in progressors both at baseline and at 12M compared to non-progressors. A 1 ng/mL decrease in baseline sCNTN1 was consistent with an odds ratio of 1.23 (95% confidence interval 1.04-1.45) (p = 0.017) for progression during follow-up. CONCLUSION: Lower baseline sCNTN1 concentrations were associated with long-term disability progression during natalizumab treatment, making it a possible blood-based prognostic biomarker for RRMS.

Serum Neurofilament Light Association With Progression in Natalizumab-Treated Patients With Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: To investigate the potential of serum neurofilament light (NfL) to reflect or predict progression mostly independent of acute inflammatory disease activity in patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) treated with natalizumab. METHODS: Patients were selected from a prospective observational cohort study initiated in 2006 at the VU University Medical Center Amsterdam, the Netherlands, including patients with RRMS treated with natalizumab. Selection criteria included an age of 18 years or older and a minimum follow-up of 3 years from natalizumab initiation. Clinical and MRI assessments were performed on a yearly basis, and serum NfL was measured at 5 time points during the follow-up, including on the day of natalizumab initiation (baseline), 3 months, 1 year, and 2 years after natalizumab initiation, and on last follow-up visit. Using general linear regression models, we compared the longitudinal dynamics of NfL between patients with and without confirmed Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) progression between year 1 visit and last follow-up, and between individuals with and without EDSS+ progression, a composite endpoint including the EDSS, 9-hole peg test, and timed 25-foot walk. RESULTS: Eighty-nine natalizumab-treated patients with RRMS were included. Median follow-up time was 5.2 years (interquartile range [IQR] 4.3-6.7, range 3.0-11.0) after natalizumab initiation, mean age at time of natalizumab initiation was 36.9 years (SD 8.5), and median disease duration was 7.4 years (IQR 3.8-12.1). Between year 1 and the last follow-up, 28/89 (31.5%) individuals showed confirmed EDSS progression. Data for the EDSS+ endpoint was available for 73 out of the 89 patients and 35/73 (47.9%) showed confirmed EDSS+ progression. We observed a significant reduction in NfL levels 3 months after natalizumab initiation, which reached its nadir of close to 50% of baseline levels 1 year after treatment initiation. We found no difference in the longitudinal dynamics of NfL in progressors vs nonprogressors. NfL levels at baseline and 1 year after natalizumab initiation did not predict progression at last follow-up. CONCLUSION: In our cohort of natalizumab-treated patients with RRMS, NfL fails to capture or predict progression that occurs largely independently of clinical or radiologic signs of acute focal inflammatory disease activity. Additional biomarkers may thus be needed to monitor progression in these patients. CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This study provides Class II evidence that serum NfL levels are not associated with disease progression in natalizumab-treated patients with RRMS.

Longitudinal Network Changes and Conversion to Cognitive Impairment in Multiple Sclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: To characterize functional network changes related to conversion to cognitive impairment in a large sample of patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) over a period of 5 years. METHODS: Two hundred twenty-seven patients with MS and 59 healthy controls of the Amsterdam MS cohort underwent neuropsychological testing and resting-state fMRI at 2 time points (time interval 4.9 ± 0.9 years). At both baseline and follow-up, patients were categorized as cognitively preserved (CP; n = 123), mildly impaired (MCI; z < -1.5 on ≥2 cognitive tests, n = 32), or impaired (CI; z < -2 on ≥2 tests, n = 72), and longitudinal conversion between groups was determined. Network function was quantified with eigenvector centrality, a measure of regional network importance, which was computed for individual resting-state networks at both time points. RESULTS: Over time, 18.9% of patients converted to a worse phenotype; 22 of 123 patients who were CP (17.9%) converted from CP to MCI, 10 of 123 from CP to CI (8.1%), and 12 of 32 patients with MCI converted to CI (37.5%). At baseline, default-mode network (DMN) centrality was higher in CI individuals compared to controls (p = 0.05). Longitudinally, ventral attention network (VAN) importance increased in CP, driven by stable CP and CP-to-MCI converters (p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Of all patients, 19% worsened in their cognitive status over 5 years. Conversion from intact cognition to impairment is related to an initial disturbed functioning of the VAN, then shifting toward DMN dysfunction in CI. Because the VAN normally relays information to the DMN, these results could indicate that in MS normal processes crucial for maintaining overall network stability are progressively disrupted as patients clinically progress.

The sequence of structural, functional and cognitive changes in multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: As disease progression remains poorly understood in multiple sclerosis (MS), we aim to investigate the sequence in which different disease milestones occur using a novel data-driven approach. METHODS: We analysed a cohort of 295 relapse-onset MS patients and 96 healthy controls, and considered 28 features, capturing information on T2-lesion load, regional brain and spinal cord volumes, resting-state functional centrality ("hubness"), microstructural tissue integrity of major white matter (WM) tracts and performance on multiple cognitive tests. We used a discriminative event-based model to estimate the sequence of biomarker abnormality in MS progression in general, as well as specific models for worsening physical disability and cognitive impairment. RESULTS: We demonstrated that grey matter (GM) atrophy of the cerebellum, thalamus, and changes in corticospinal tracts are early events in MS pathology, whereas other WM tracts as well as the cognitive domains of working memory, attention, and executive function are consistently late events. The models for disability and cognition show early functional changes of the default-mode network and earlier changes in spinal cord volume compared to the general MS population. Overall, GM atrophy seems crucial due to its early involvement in the disease course, whereas WM tract integrity appears to be affected relatively late despite the early onset of WM lesions. CONCLUSION: Data-driven modelling revealed the relative occurrence of both imaging and non-imaging events as MS progresses, providing insights into disease propagation mechanisms, and allowing fine-grained staging of patients for monitoring purposes.

Increased functional sensorimotor network efficiency relates to disability in multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Network abnormalities could help explain physical disability in multiple sclerosis (MS), which remains poorly understood. OBJECTIVE: This study investigates functional network efficiency changes in the sensorimotor system. METHODS: We included 222 MS patients, divided into low disability (LD, Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) ⩽3.5, n = 185) and high disability (HD, EDSS ⩾6, n = 37), and 82 healthy controls (HC). Functional connectivity was assessed between 23 sensorimotor regions. Measures of efficiency were computed and compared between groups using general linear models corrected for age and sex. Binary logistic regression models related disability status to local functional network efficiency (LE), brain volumes and demographics. Functional connectivity patterns of regions important for disability were explored. RESULTS: HD patients demonstrated significantly higher LE of the left primary somatosensory cortex (S1) and right pallidum compared to LD and HC, and left premotor cortex compared to HC only. The logistic regression model for disability (R2 = 0.38) included age, deep grey matter volume and left S1 LE. S1 functional connectivity was increased with prefrontal and secondary sensory areas in HD patients, compared to LD and HC. CONCLUSION: Clinical disability in MS associates with functional sensorimotor increases in efficiency and connectivity, centred around S1, independent of structural damage.

Clinico-radiological dissociation of disease activity in MS patients: frequency and clinical relevance.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the prevalence and clinical relevance regarding disability progression in multiple sclerosis patients with a dissociation in clinical and radiological disease expression. METHODS: We prospectively selected patients with early relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (MS) or a clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) from the Amsterdam MS cohort. Patients underwent clinical examination at baseline, after 2 years, 6 years and a subset also after 11 years, including the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS), 25-foot walk test (25-FWT) and 9-hole peg test (9-HPT). Brain and spinal cord MRI scans were obtained at baseline and after 2 years. Two years after baseline, patients with dissociation in their clinical and radiological disease progression were identified as: (1) patients with high clinical disease activity (defined by relapses) and low radiological disease activity (defined by white-matter lesions on T2-weighted imaging); or (2) patients with low clinical disease activity and high radiological disease activity. Binary logistic regression analyses were performed to predict disability progression after 6 and 11 years of follow-up. Patients with low clinical and low radiological disease activity were used as the reference group. RESULTS: The prevalence of clinico-radiological dissociation was low (6.4% had high clinical and low radiological disease activity and 5.1% had a combination of low clinical and high radiological disease activity) compared to 88.5% of patients without a dissociation. Patients with a dissociation of clinical and radiological disease activity did not show a statistically significant difference in risk of disability progression after 6 and 11 years. CONCLUSIONS: A clinico-radiological dissociation is rather a rare phenomenon in MS patients. The clinical relevance of such a dissociation regarding the prediction of disability progression is questionable.

Infratentorial and spinal cord lesions: Cumulative predictors of long-term disability?

OBJECTIVE: The objective of the study was to determine whether early infratentorial and/or spinal cord lesions are long-term cumulative predictors of disability progression in multiple sclerosis (MS). METHODS: We selected 153 MS patients from the longitudinal Amsterdam MS cohort. Lesion analysis was performed at baseline and year 2. Disability progression after 6 and 11 years was measured using the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) and EDSS-plus (including 25-foot walk and 9-hole peg test). Patients with spinal cord or infratentorial lesions were compared for the risk of 6- and 11-year disability progression to patients without spinal cord or infratentorial lesions, respectively. Subsequently, patients with lesions on both locations were compared to patients with only spinal cord or only infratentorial lesions. RESULTS: Baseline spinal cord lesions show a higher risk of 6-year EDSS progression (odds ratio (OR): 3.6, p = 0.007) and EDSS-plus progression (OR: 2.5, p = 0.028) and 11-year EDSS progression (OR: 2.8, p = 0.047). Patients with both infratentorial and spinal cord lesions did not have a higher risk of 6-year disability progression than patients with only infratentorial or only spinal cord lesions. CONCLUSION: The presence of early spinal cord lesions seems to be a dominant risk factor of disability progression. Simultaneous presence of early infratentorial and spinal cord lesions did not undisputedly predict disability progression.

The natalizumab wearing-off effect: End of natalizumab cycle, recurrence of MS symptoms.

OBJECTIVE: Natalizumab is effective in treating relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS). However, many patients report an increase of multiple sclerosis symptoms at the end of the natalizumab cycle: a wearing-off effect. The objective of this study was to evaluate the prevalence of the wearing-off effect in patients with standard and extended intervals and to study possible associations with pharmacokinetic/dynamic measurements and patient characteristics in a prospective, monocenter, cross-sectional cohort study. METHODS: Patients with RRMS, with a minimum of 6 natalizumab infusions, were asked to complete 3 questionnaires: the Multiple Sclerosis Impact Scale, the 36-Item Short Form Health Survey, and a general questionnaire regarding the wearing-off effect. Natalizumab concentration and α4-integrin receptor saturation were measured before redosing. RESULTS: Ninety-three patients were included. A total of 54% experienced a wearing-off effect during natalizumab treatment and 32% experienced a current wearing-off effect at time of measurement. The self-reported wearing-off effect was not associated with natalizumab concentration nor with α4-integrin receptor saturation. The wearing-off effect was more frequently reported in the standard interval group (39%) than in the extended interval group (19%); the duration of symptoms was comparable between both groups. The wearing-off effect was not associated with number of infusions, disease duration, age, or sex. CONCLUSION: The wearing-off effect is a frequently reported phenomenon but is unlikely to reflect a nonoptimal pharmacokinetic/dynamic state. We did not find risk factors predicting the wearing-off effect.

Cortical atrophy accelerates as cognitive decline worsens in multiple sclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: To determine which pathologic process could be responsible for the acceleration of cognitive decline during the course of multiple sclerosis (MS), using longitudinal structural MRI, which was related to cognitive decline in relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) and progressive MS (PMS). METHODS: A prospective cohort of 230 patients with MS (179 RRMS and 51 PMS) and 59 healthy controls was evaluated twice with 5-year (mean 4.9, SD 0.94) interval during which 22 patients with RRMS converted to PMS. Annual rates of cortical and deep gray matter atrophy as well as lesion volume increase were computed on longitudinal (3T) MRI data and correlated to the annual rate of cognitive decline as measured using an extensive cognitive evaluation at both time points. RESULTS: The deep gray matter atrophy rate did not differ between PMS and RRMS (-0.82%/year vs -0.71%/year, p = 0.11), while faster cortical atrophy was observed in PMS (-0.87%/year vs -0.48%/year, p < 0.01). Similarly, faster cognitive decline was observed in PMS compared to RRMS (p < 0.01). Annual cognitive decline was related to the rate of annual lesion volume increase in stable RRMS (r = -0.17, p = 0.03) to the rate of annual deep gray matter atrophy in converting RRMS (r = 0.50, p = 0.02) and annual cortical atrophy in PMS (r = 0.35, p = 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: These results indicate that cortical atrophy and cognitive decline accelerate together during the course of MS. Substrates of cognitive decline shifted from worsening lesional pathology in stable RRMS to deep gray matter atrophy in converting RRMS and to accelerated cortical atrophy in PMS only.

Predicting cognitive decline in multiple sclerosis: a 5-year follow-up study.

Cognitive decline is common in multiple sclerosis and strongly affects overall quality of life. Despite the identification of cross-sectional MRI correlates of cognitive impairment, predictors of future cognitive decline remain unclear. The objective of this study was to identify which MRI measures of structural damage, demographic and/or clinical measures at baseline best predict cognitive decline, during a 5-year follow-up period. A total of 234 patients with clinically definite multiple sclerosis and 60 healthy control subjects were examined twice, with a 5-year interval (mean = 4.9 years, standard deviation = 0.9). An extensive neuropsychological evaluation was performed at both time points and the reliable change index was computed to evaluate cognitive decline. Both whole-brain and regional MRI (3 T) measures were assessed at baseline, including white matter lesion volume, diffusion-based white matter integrity, cortical and deep grey matter volume. Logistic regression analyses were performed to determine which baseline measures best predicted cognitive decline in the entire sample as well as in early relapsing-remitting (symptom duration <10 years), late relapsing-remitting (symptom duration ≥10 years) and progressive phenotypes. At baseline, patients with multiple sclerosis had a mean disease duration of 14.8 (standard deviation = 8.4) years and 96/234 patients (41%) were classified as cognitively impaired. A total of 66/234 patients (28%) demonstrated cognitive decline during follow-up, with higher frequencies in progressive compared to relapsing-remitting patients: 18/33 secondary progressive patients (55%), 10/19 primary progressive patients (53%) and 38/182 relapsing-remitting patients (21%). A prediction model that included only whole-brain MRI measures (Nagelkerke R2 = 0.22, P < 0.001) showed cortical grey matter volume as the only significant MRI predictor of cognitive decline, while a prediction model that assessed regional MRI measures (Nagelkerke R2 = 0.35, P < 0.001) indicated integrity loss of the anterior thalamic radiation, lesions in the superior longitudinal fasciculus and temporal atrophy as significant MRI predictors for cognitive decline. Disease stage specific regressions showed that cognitive decline in early relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis was predicted by white matter integrity damage, while cognitive decline in late relapsing-remitting and progressive multiple sclerosis was predicted by cortical atrophy. These results indicate that patients with more severe structural damage at baseline, and especially cortical atrophy, are more prone to suffer from cognitive decline. New studies now need to further elucidate the underlying mechanisms leading to cortical atrophy, evaluate the value of including cortical atrophy as a possible outcome marker in clinical trials as well as study its potential use in individual patient management.

Disease activity following pregnancy-related discontinuation of natalizumab in MS.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate disease activity and disability progression following pregnancy-related discontinuation of natalizumab (NTZ) in patients with relapsing-remitting MS. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study of clinical and radiologic data in patients who discontinued NTZ for pregnancy-related reasons. RESULTS: Twenty-two pregnancy-related NTZ discontinuations in 17 patients were evaluated. The median time to conception was 3.4 months. Relapses were more frequent in patients in whom conception did not occur within 6 months (p = 0.022). Confirmed disability progression occurred in 27.3% and was associated with time to conception (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Early conception after NTZ discontinuation is associated with a reduced risk of disease activity and disability progression. Continuation of NTZ treatment until confirmed pregnancy should be considered in patients with previously active MS. However, the advantages of continuing the drug until pregnancy should be balanced against the uncertainties in postnatal outcomes.

Switching natalizumab to fingolimod within 6 weeks reduces recurrence of disease activity in MS patients.

BACKGROUND: Natalizumab is an effective treatment in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (MS). Mainly because of the risk of progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML), a substantial proportion of John Cunningham (JC) virus-positive patients switch to fingolimod. Previous reports show a clear benefit when the duration of a washout (WO) period of natalizumab is 0-3 months in comparison to longer WO periods. However, there is no consensus regarding the optimal duration of a WO period under 3 months. OBJECTIVE: We compared MS disease activity after different WO periods. In addition, we investigated several factors that possibly influence recurrence of disease activity, including serum natalizumab concentration and lymphocyte counts. METHODS: From a prospective observational cohort study of natalizumab-treated patients, we selected 52 patients who switched to fingolimod. We divided the patients in three groups (<6 weeks, 6-8 weeks, >8 weeks WO). Serum natalizumab concentration and lymphocyte count were assessed during and after natalizumab treatment. RESULTS: Patients with a WO period of >8 weeks had a significant higher recurrence of disease activity (odds ratio, 6.8; 95% confidence interval, 1.4-32.8) compared to patients with a WO period of <6 weeks. Serum natalizumab concentration and lymphocyte count did not predict recurrence of disease activity. INTERPRETATION: A short WO period decreases the risk of recurrence of disease activity. The possible impact of a short WO period on the risk of carry-over PML in JC virus-positive patients remains uncertain.

Prediction of a multiple sclerosis diagnosis in patients with clinically isolated syndrome using the 2016 MAGNIMS and 2010 McDonald criteria: a retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: In 2016, the Magnetic Resonance Imaging in Multiple Sclerosis (MAGNIMS) network proposed modifications to the MRI criteria to define dissemination in space (DIS) and time (DIT) for the diagnosis of multiple sclerosis in patients with clinically isolated syndrome (CIS). Changes to the DIS definition included removal of the distinction between symptomatic and asymptomatic lesions, increasing the number of lesions needed to define periventricular involvement to three, combining cortical and juxtacortical lesions, and inclusion of optic nerve evaluation. For DIT, removal of the distinction between symptomatic and asymptomatic lesions was suggested. We compared the performance of the 2010 McDonald and 2016 MAGNIMS criteria for multiple sclerosis diagnosis in a large multicentre cohort of patients with CIS to provide evidence to guide revisions of multiple sclerosis diagnostic criteria. METHODS: Brain and spinal cord MRI and optic nerve assessments from patients with typical CIS suggestive of multiple sclerosis done less than 3 months from clinical onset in eight European multiple sclerosis centres were included in this retrospective study. Eligible patients were 16-60 years, and had a first CIS suggestive of CNS demyelination and typical of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis, a complete neurological examination, a baseline brain and spinal cord MRI scan obtained less than 3 months from clinical onset, and a follow-up brain scan obtained less than 12 months from CIS onset. We recorded occurrence of a second clinical attack (clinically definite multiple sclerosis) at months 36 and 60. We evaluated MRI criteria performance for DIS, DIT, and DIS plus DIT with a time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. FINDINGS: Between June 16, 1995, and Jan 27, 2017, 571 patients with CIS were screened, of whom 368 met all study inclusion criteria. At the last evaluation (median 50·0 months [IQR 27·0-78·4]), 189 (51%) of 368 patients developed clinically definite multiple sclerosis. At 36 months, the two DIS criteria showed high sensitivity (2010 McDonald 0·91 [95% CI 0·85-0·94] and 2016 MAGNIMS 0·93 [0·88-0·96]), similar specificity (0·33 [0·25-0·42] and 0·32 [0·24-0·41]), and similar area under the curve values (AUC; 0·62 [0·57-0·67] and 0·63 [0·58-0·67]). Performance was not affected by inclusion of symptomatic lesions (sensitivity 0·92 [0·87-0·96], specificity 0·31 [0·23-0·40], AUC 0·62 [0·57-0·66]) or cortical lesions (sensitivity 0·92 [0·87-0·95], specificity 0·32 [0·24-0·41], AUC 0·62 [0·57-0·67]). Requirement of three periventricular lesions resulted in slightly lower sensitivity (0·85 [0·78-0·90], slightly higher specificity (0·40 [0·32-0·50], and similar AUC (0·63 [0·57-0·68]). Inclusion of optic nerve evaluation resulted in similar sensitivity (0·92 [0·87-0·96]), and slightly lower specificity (0·26 [0·18-0·34]) and AUC (0·59 [0·55-0·64]). AUC values were also similar for DIT (2010 McDonald 0·61 [0·55-0·67] and 2016 MAGNIMS 0·61 [0·55-0·66]) and DIS plus DIT (0·62 [0·56-0·67] and 0·64 [0·58-0·69]). INTERPRETATION: The 2016 MAGNIMS criteria showed similar accuracy to the 2010 McDonald criteria in predicting the development of clinically definite multiple sclerosis. Inclusion of symptomatic lesions is expected to simplify the clinical use of MRI criteria without reducing accuracy, and our findings suggest that needing three lesions to define periventricular involvement might slightly increase specificity, suggesting that these two factors could be considered during further revisions of multiple sclerosis diagnostic criteria. FUNDING: UK MS Society, National Institute for Health Research University College London Hospitals Biomedical Research Centre, Dutch MS Research Foundation.

Asymptomatic spinal cord lesions do not predict the time to disability in patients with early multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: The presence of asymptomatic spinal cord (SC) lesions in patients with clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) or relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) predicts conversion to clinically definite multiple sclerosis (CDMS). The relation between asymptomatic SC abnormalities and disability progression warrants further investigation. OBJECTIVE: To determine the prognostic value of asymptomatic SC lesions in CIS and early RRMS with respect to the time to disability development. METHODS: Clinical and demographic data, brain and SC magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) were collected of CIS or early RRMS patients. Two main analyses were performed. For the first analysis, patients were divided into two groups: (1) patients with asymptomatic SC lesions and (2) patients without SC lesions and patients with symptomatic SC lesions. The second analysis excluded patients with symptomatic SC lesions. Incidence curves were used to analyse differences between these groups in time to the development of disability and time to a second relapse. RESULTS: A total of 178 patients were included, and 42 patients (23.6%) had asymptomatic SC lesions. No significant differences were found on the time to disability development or the time to a second event. CONCLUSION: Asymptomatic SC lesions early in the disease course do not predict the time to disability development in patients diagnosed with CIS or early RRMS.

Brain and Spinal Cord MR Imaging Features in Multiple Sclerosis and Variants.

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a disabling disease, with the first symptoms mostly appearing early in life. In addition to the clinical and laboratory findings, imaging has become increasingly important for diagnosis, prognosis, and monitoring. Because of its importance for these purposes, a high level of knowledge of imaging MS pathology and a standardization of the imaging acquisition, interpretation, and reporting is necessary. Here we will describe the MR imaging characteristics of MS pathology, the current imaging protocols, diagnostic criteria, and the differential diagnosis of MS.